When the ball is released, it does many revolutions before losing momentum, then falls onto the rotor (the part with pockets). It may hit some of the metal deflectors along the way (diamonds). It may bounce all over the place, or barely bounce at all. And of course you never know the ball and wheel speed, right? So who knows where that ball will land. I mean it’s just all random, right? Well, forget what you think you know about roulette. Forget what you saw on TV from some TV presenter that has probably never spent more than a few minutes learning about roulette and is perhaps just reciting what another similar “professional” said. Let’s have a close look at whether or not roulette really is “random” . . .
The basic definition of random is “Having no specific pattern”. So does roulette really have no specific pattern?
The fact is nothing ever has “no specific pattern”, so nothing is “random”. People call things “random” when they don’t see or understand the “cause and effect”. In other words, events occur because of the variables that cause the event to happen. In the context of roulette, the roulette ball lands where it does because of real physical variables such as ball release speed, ball physical properties, wheel (rotor) speed and so on. This should be obvious, so the question is not whether or not roulette is “random”, but more whether or not we can determine the variables and predict the winning number with sufficient accuracy to overcome the casino’s “unfair payouts”.
Remember, the house edge is only a very small “unfair payout”, so you only need slight accuracy of predictions to overcome it and beat the casino in the long term.
Before I continue, remember my explanation of what the “house edge” is:
If you bet on number 32 for 37 spins, statistically you will win once where you are paid 35 units plus the original unit you wagered. So after 37 spins, you are left with 36 units. Now this is the critical part to understand . . . If the payouts were FAIR, the payout would be 36-1 which means that after the 37 spins, you would be left with 36 units + the 1 unit you wagered, which means you have broken even.
Having no accuracy of predictions (random) is a 1 in 37 prediction accuracy. So to break even, you need to achieve a 1 in 36 prediction accuracy. And to finally turn the odds in your favour, you need to predict where the ball will land with only 1 in 35 spins. This is easy to achieve.
In terms of player edge, it is incredibly easy to get a 3% edge with roulette – even on wheels other so-called professionals say are impossible to beat. If you think 3% is small, consider the casino’s edge against players is 2.7% and they make billions from it. Now take into account my full system will give you an edge between 5% to 15%, then you can understand why I tell players “the only limit to what you earn is what you can win without being noticed”.